• Qualified on Mayo Clinic Platform

Opioid Risk Intelligence at the Point of Care

Opioid Use Disorder (OUD) Solution scores every patient's risk before the treatment decision, then surfaces the protocol-matched next step inside the EMR. Clinicians spend less time assembling the chart, prescribe against real risk instead of instinct, and capture the ancillary services each patient is clinically eligible for.

Luke Skywalker · 58M · MRN 622898 · General examination
34 data points read from the chart: 7 instruments, medications, toxicology, vitals, encounter history
Click to see this patient’s risk
72
High riskTier 4 of 4 · recalculated on this encounter

What drove the score

Run the score to see which factors contributed and how much.

High opioid abuse potentialSOAPP-14 score of 28
High
Abnormal urine toxicologyInconsistent with prescribed regimen
High
Medication risk profileBuprenorphine active, MME 80/day
Moderate
Elevated ORT scoreOpioid Risk Tool score of 10
Moderate
Moderate depressionPHQ-9 score of 12
Low
Improving pain disabilityPDI trending down since last visit
Lowers

Contributing Risk Factors

(19) Missing Data Points
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High medications risk score (27)Recorded on 1/22/2026
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Short appointment duration (<6 months)Recorded on 1/22/2026
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saboxoneBuprenorphine - TrueRecorded on 1/22/2026
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Abnormal urine analysisRecorded on 1/22/2026
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High lab data risk score (19)Recorded on 1/22/2026
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Obese (BMI: 31.7)Recorded on 1/22/2026
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High ORT score (10)Recorded on 1/22/2026
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High opioid abuse potential (SOAPP: 28)Recorded on 1/22/2026
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Current NSAID useRecorded on 1/22/2026
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Current opioid prescription (age ≥45)Recorded on 1/22/2026
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Moderate MME (80)Recorded on 1/22/2026
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GenderRecorded on 1/22/2026
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Moderate depression (PHQ9: 12)Recorded on 1/22/2026
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Moderate PROs risk score (29)Recorded on 1/22/2026
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Low event history risk score (5)Recorded on 1/22/2026

ePROMs

ORT COMM GAD-7 PHQ-9 SOAPP

Correlated assessments

COWS6/48 Low
TrajectoryStable
Missing data points19

Vitals

BP140/80 mmHg
MME / day80.0
BMI31.7
UDSAbnormal
Last opioid RxApr 22, 2025
Measured outcomes

Six months, 1,200 chronic pain patients.

97%
ClinicalRisk prediction accuracy measured against the risk clinicians calculated themselves
35%
SafetyDecline in opioid prescriptions once treatment was matched to actual risk
16 min
OperationalSaved per visit, with case review falling from 20 minutes to 4
54%
AdministrativeDecline in claim rejections and denials as necessity became documented

Results from a six-month deployment at Rocky Mountain Pain Solutions, a multi-provider chronic pain practice. The same 1,200-patient dataset became the training foundation for the OUD risk model later qualified on Mayo Clinic Platform.

01Multi-Source Data Capture

Every validated data point, scored the moment it is submitted.

cliexa collects the data a pain or behavioral health practice already trusts and scores it automatically, so a composite picture of risk exists before the patient is roomed instead of after the visit ends.

  • SOAPP-14, DAST-10, AUDIT, GAD-7, PHQ-9, PDI, and COMM captured and scored without manual tallying
  • Medication history, morphine equivalents, and urine toxicology read alongside the patient-reported scores
  • Longitudinal tracking, so each score is read as a trend rather than a single reading
  • Patient-reported data collected before arrival, on the device the patient already has
PATIENT REPORTED SOAPP-14 · DAST-10 AUDIT · GAD-7 · PHQ-9 PDI · COMM FROM THE RECORD Medication history MME per day Urine toxicology BEFORE ARRIVAL Pre-visit intake On their device cliexa Reasoning Engine Composite risk picture for OUD Before the patient is roomed

Seven instruments, the record, and the pre-visit intake resolve into one score.

02Four-Tier Risk Stratification

One risk level, from a model trained on real patient records.

An XGBoost classifier trained on real clinical data works together with cliexa's Clinical Rules Engine to return a single risk tier: Minimal, Low, Medium, or High. The rules engine holds the clinical guardrails, and the model reads the pattern across everything the record contains.

  • Four-tier stratification returned in real time, inside the workflow the clinician already uses
  • An XGBoost classifier paired with a deterministic Clinical Rules Engine, so guardrails stay explicit
  • Trained on structured data captured during live patient care rather than synthetic or retrospective sets
  • Containerized and production-ready, qualified as a solution on Mayo Clinic Platform

OUD risk index

72/100
up 14 since last visit
Risk tierHigh · 4 of 4
Previous tierMedium
ReturnedReal time, in the chart
XGBoost classifier Clinical Rules Engine
03Explainability

The score arrives with its reasoning attached.

A risk number a clinician cannot interrogate is a number they will override. cliexa shows which instruments, medications, and behaviors moved the score, how far each one moved it, and what changed since the last visit.

  • Contributing factors ranked by weight, so the clinician can see what is driving the tier
  • Trend lines across every data point, showing whether risk is rising or resolving
  • A full audit trail behind every score, which is what makes the decision defensible in review
  • The clinician stays the decision-maker, with the score serving as evidence rather than instruction
What moved the score4 factors
SOAPP-14 at 28Raises
Toxicology inconsistentRaises
Morphine equivalents 80/dayRaises
Pain disability improvingLowers
Reasoning

COMM rose from 6 to 11 and morphine equivalents crossed 90 per day, so the tier moved from Medium to High between visits.

Audit trail attached Clinician decides
04Protocol-Driven Monitoring

The monitoring cadence follows the tier automatically.

Once a patient has a risk tier, the follow-up schedule stops being a judgment call made under time pressure. cliexa holds the practice's own monitoring rules and applies them to every patient at every tier, consistently.

  • Visit intervals, urine screen frequency, and reassessment windows set by risk tier
  • Behavioral health assignment triggered for the tiers where the protocol calls for it
  • Your protocols, encoded once, applied to every patient the same way
  • Automatic re-evaluation when a score, medication, or toxicology result changes the tier
High tier protocolapplied

Visit and screen cadence

Provider visit and urine screen every two months, set by the tier.

Behavioral health assigned

A therapist is attached the moment the tier reaches High.

Reassessment scheduled

Risk re-evaluated in three months, or sooner if a score changes.

Your protocols, encoded once, applied the same way to every patient.

05Risk-Based Care Channeling

Risk identification is only half the work.

The tier tells you which services a patient is clinically eligible for. cliexa surfaces those recommendations inside the chart, so the clinician no longer has to remember which patient qualifies for what. This is where a stratified population turns into delivered care.

  • Behavioral health screening, therapy, and monitoring routed to the tiers that clinically warrant them
  • Physical therapy, imaging, and diagnostic eligibility mapped from the chief complaint and risk profile
  • Chronic care management surfaced for patients carrying pain with anxiety or depression
  • Medically necessary services captured because they were indicated, with the indication on the record
LS
High tierEligible for three services
Behavioral
health
Protocol
Toxicology
monitoring
Every 2 mo
Chronic care
management
CCM 99490

Surfaced in the chart

Each recommendation traces to the tier and the documented comorbidity behind it.

Evidence

This model has a paper trail.

  1. 2018

    Clinical pilot

    Six months at Rocky Mountain Pain Solutions across 1,200 chronic pain patients, generating structured assessment, medication, toxicology, and behavioral data during active care.

  2. 2019

    Predictive model, 97% accuracy

    A model built on that dataset predicted opioid risk with 97% accuracy compared with the risk pain and mental health providers calculated themselves.

  3. 2020

    University partnership and peer presentation

    The University of Colorado Denver's Department of Computer Science and Engineering built a deep neural network on the same clinical data, handed off to cliexa in April 2020. Results were presented to practice administrators through an MGMA-accredited CME session.

  4. 2022

    Mayo Clinic Platform_Accelerate

    cliexa was among the first companies selected, gaining access to de-identified patient data, bias and fairness evaluation, and clinical validation infrastructure.

  5. January 2026

    Qualified solution on Mayo Clinic Platform

    cliexaAI Opioid Use Disorder Solution was qualified on Mayo Clinic Platform, combining an XGBoost classifier with the Clinical Rules Engine and returning real-time, interpretable four-tier risk scores.

Beyond a single condition

The architecture outgrew the use case.

If your specialty is not on this page, we can apply the same predictive work to yours.

That same foundation was applied to chronic kidney disease modeling across 85,000 patient records through Mayo Clinic Platform Discovery. The work demonstrated that the underlying approach, including disease-agnostic reasoning, rigorous validation, responsible AI, and enterprise-ready deployment, could extend well beyond a single condition.

OUD risk prediction is where the architecture was proven. It is not where its potential ends.

Ask us about your specialty
Second conditionMayo Clinic Platform Discovery
ConditionChronic kidney disease
Patient records modeled85,000
Reasoning architectureSame as OUD
ValidationRigorous
What carried over

Disease-agnostic reasoning, rigorous validation, responsible AI, and enterprise-ready deployment extended from opioid risk to a second condition.

Disease-agnostic Responsible AI Enterprise-ready
FAQ

OUD risk prediction

Still have questions? Talk to us →

OUD risk prediction is the use of a clinical model to estimate a patient's risk of developing opioid use disorder before it presents clinically. cliexa scores validated assessment instruments alongside medication history, morphine equivalents and urine toxicology already in the record, then returns a four-tier risk level inside the clinical workflow with the factors that produced it.

cliexa calculates opioid use disorder risk with an XGBoost classifier working alongside a deterministic Clinical Rules Engine. The rules engine holds the clinical guardrails while the model reads the pattern across patient-reported scores, prescribing data and toxicology results. The output is a single risk tier of Minimal, Low, Medium or High, returned in real time.

cliexa captures and scores SOAPP-14, DAST-10, AUDIT, GAD-7, PHQ-9, PDI and COMM. Those patient-reported scores are read alongside medication history, morphine equivalents per day and urine toxicology consistency. These are the instruments pain management and behavioral health practices already use, so the model works from evidence clinicians already trust.

cliexa's OUD risk model predicted opioid risk with 97% accuracy compared with the risk calculated by treating providers in pain and mental health settings. The model was trained on structured data from 1,200 chronic pain patients captured during a six-month clinical deployment, which means the training data came from real clinical care rather than synthetic or retrospective sources.

Yes. Every cliexa risk score arrives with the instruments, medications and behaviors that moved it, ranked by weight, along with the trend since the previous visit and a full audit trail. Pairing a machine learning classifier with a deterministic rules engine keeps the reasoning inspectable, and a clinician reviews and signs every decision.

Qualification on Mayo Clinic Platform means a model has been evaluated against an institutional standard for responsible, production-ready clinical AI. cliexaAI Opioid Use Disorder Solution became a qualified solution in January 2026. cliexa was also among the first companies selected for Mayo Clinic Platform_Accelerate in 2022, which provided de-identified data access, bias and fairness evaluation, and clinical validation infrastructure.

No. The purpose of risk stratification is to match treatment and monitoring to each patient's actual risk. Higher-risk patients receive closer monitoring and behavioral health support, while lower-risk patients avoid unnecessary screening burden. Opioid prescriptions fell 35% in deployment because clinicians could finally see risk clearly, and the clinician retains every prescribing decision.

The risk score is available before the treatment decision is made. Patient-reported instruments are scored the moment they are submitted, so a composite picture of risk exists before the patient is roomed rather than after the visit ends. The tier and its contributing factors surface inside the chart the clinician already works in.

OUD risk prediction is used by pain management practices, behavioral health and addiction medicine programs, primary care groups managing chronic pain populations, and health systems running opioid stewardship programs. It is also relevant to organizations in value-based or risk-bearing contracts, where identifying and documenting risk early affects both clinical outcomes and contract performance.

Get started

See OUD risk prediction on your own patient population.

Bring a de-identified cohort from your pain or behavioral health panel. We will show you how the tiers fall out, what drove each score, and which patients your current workflow is not catching.

Book a clinical demo →